Dollars 2 Won

The AUD/CHF remains in a strong uptrend with a new 20-month high being printed this morning.

The German trade balance surplus unexpectedly shrank in January from 13.4 billion to 8.0 billion as falling exports offset rising imports. Demand from abroad dropped by 6.3% against forecasts for a 0.5% improvement led by weakness from other Euro-zone members.

While most currencies have been consolidating or tracking lower against the buck on the day, Kiwi stands out and has actually outperformed, with no direct catalyst for the demand other than some pre-RBNZ volatility.

 The Euro tipped lower against the greenback on Wednesday, with the exchange rate slipping to a low of 1.3545 during the overnight trade, and the single-currency is likely to maintain the narrow range carried over from the previous week as policy makers in Europe aim to support the economies operating under the fixed-exchange rate system.

Oil and gold prices may decline amid expectations for a sharp increase in borrowing costs as the US Treasury’s monthly budget statement shows the largest monthly shortfall since records began nearly 33 years ago.

Setbacks have stalled for now ahead of  1.3400 (61.8% fib retrace of the 2008-2009 low-highs), and although the overall structure remains bearish, the market looks as though it may be attempting to carve out a short-term base.

The British Pound was little changed in Asian trade, treading water near familiar levels ahead of a report that is expected to show industrial production shrank at the slowest annual pace in nearly two years.

While most currencies have been consolidating in a tight range since the North American close, Kiwi stands out and has outperformed on the session, with no direct catalyst for the demand other than some pre-RBNZ volatility.